For those who either are too lazy to check, or can't; here's the important information from the top comment that maribro mentioned:
"You can not simulate a game of mafia with random numbers. It doesn't work. In fact not only has attempting to do so historically (both at amateur and professional levels) been incorrect, the results are often the opposite of true.
Mafia is a game of information and trust. Not of random chance. You don't lynch people on the first day without information because it's statistically likely to lead to a beneficial result when it's completely randomized. You do it because gathering information on the players and forcing people to interact is how you make your decisions on who to investigate and who to lynch later in the game more accurate."
I still agree with Maribro, JLo and CJ on lynching day 1. We should draw the day out as long as we can to get the most information (however little it may be).
oh rip just realised the mafia link was a forum too lmao.
Here's the top comment for that one too.
"That doesn't seem like a huge difference, yes town wins more games they no lynch. But does that have to do with game mechanics at all? Like, some games mechanics are much different than all. So this data isn't as reliable as you may expect.
Though I agree, we tend to lynch more town than scum day 1.
If you townread everyone in the game is the only reason you should not lynch someone. Though that is often rare. I don't think players should compromise onto lynching a townread of theirs."